Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mike Operator 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mongolian Kingdom 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 City Legend 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Man On the Moon 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sittin On Go 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Perfect Cut 10.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Secret Touch 4.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Krixus Flash 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Papale 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Capo Sorella 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 High Flying Gracie 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Outer Sunset 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ifuaintfirsturlast 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 American Tsunami 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Miss Pixy Stix 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 9 Thirsty for Love 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Fifty Stars 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Beep Boop 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Empty Chairs 4.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Easter Coming Back 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady T 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anywho 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Doris Mae 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Taming the Tigress 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 My Destiny 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Musical Rhapsody (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unfaithful Ways 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Eylara (IRE) 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 A Crown for Kitten 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Aloha Kitten 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Myfavoritedaughter 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Zeyaraat 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Happy Happy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big Gun 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Montana 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 U R Pressed 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Pineapple Juice 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Anthony’s Best 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Pars and Birdies 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Prince Graygray 50.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Reef City 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Warrior Road 4.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Pat Can’t Count 20.00 11.1 21-1
9 9 Bendettijoe 10.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Distant Steppes 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Lansdowne (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
6 5 Tigerhon (FR) 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Single Track Mind (IRE) 4.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Papa Tiger 10.00 5.6 10-1
11 9 Tom Horn 4.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Devil Moon 3.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Powertrain 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Sharona’s Wild Boy 15.00 7 13-1
5 4 Raka Raka Cruz 12.00 8 15-1
12 98 Belmont Bill 0.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Stafford to Kupp 0.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Top Gun Classic 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Fleet Treat S.) – Fleet Treat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ceiling Crusher 0.20 1 2-1
6 6 Big Pond 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Chismosa 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Smiling Lady 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Absolutely Zero 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cholly 30.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tom’s Regret 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Idessia 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bold Choice 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Candy On Top 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ashleys Sandcastle 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jersey Sunset 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Strange Addiction 5.00 5 9-1
11 11 Ruff Ride 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Annie’s Hope 4.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Warrior Lady 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Betsy Is the Code 30.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 Tapit Rocks 30.00 11.7 22-1
12 12 Magic Game 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Scary Fast Ride 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Benster 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.