Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | L’Imperator (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beat Le Bon (FR) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Modus Operandi (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoffman (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Connecticut | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Salvino (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Top Brass (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gold (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silk Trade | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flint Ridge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jake Rocks | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ram | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beaver Hat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lastchanceatglory | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Follow Your Arrow | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gram | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Girl | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mel’s Angel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inca Mummy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Being Betty | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Needed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barefoot Disco | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Smokeshow | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Thyself | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Thief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mastery’s Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dorth’s Sol Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Honorable Miss H.) – Honorable Miss H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echo Zulu | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Echo Zulu | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Echo Zulu | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Rockette | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maryquitecontrary | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr B | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addicted to You | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Quality G | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Endowed | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bro Coop | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Billy’s Got Issues | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Addicted to You | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Let Me Down | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mama Banned Me | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Relate | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Watch (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Morning Cup | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stjames | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Watasha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ichiban | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Athena Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danseur d’Oro | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesascoldasice | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April Antics | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hazel | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ichiban | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duckphat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bring Me a Check | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Arrest Me Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outlaw Kid | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coppola | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chewing Gum | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arzak | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bring Me a Check | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dot’s Dollar | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Provocateur | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda’s Folly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mystery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eros’s Girl | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amanda’s Folly | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ok Honey | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B B’s Busted | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderella’s Cause | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Amity Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Out of Sight | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m So Sorry | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Such Sounds | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Anatolian | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Siempre Elegante | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elle Est Forte | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Avenue Niel (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace Me | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Bridget (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rhombique | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lullaby Land | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Peak Popularity | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Olkovskha (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Your Mission | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquist | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vince the Prince | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | English Storm | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Waflr | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aula | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sharp Play Boy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wayward Ghost | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He’s a Lucky Guy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Indian Mischief | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Druid | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Control Alt Delete | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Strategyforyou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zapruder | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | In My Shadow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Uncle Marty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.