Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s Resilient 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Silver Lightening 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Bella Baby 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Anybody’s Choice 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Just a Little Luck 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Don’t Get Pickled 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 President Z 10.00 1 2-1
6 5 Too Much Info 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Straighten Up 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Goldenspa 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Colonel Vargo 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Reign Over Me 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Midnight Lightning 5.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Man Overboard 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runninwiththeboyz 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Eddie’s New Dream 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Paris Peacock (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Freedom Lass 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Oakhurst 4.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Shared Future 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Infinite Diamond 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Seisai (IRE) 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cowboy Mike 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ship and Scam 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Silver N Black 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Dont Fight the Fed 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Get the Gold 8.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Coppertunity 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Lord Tripping 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Big Baby 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Big Way 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calabrian Queen 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just Nails 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Kissed by Fire 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Make It Snow 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mo Temptation 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Sultry Kitten 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Christina’s Candy 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Sareeha (IRE) 6.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Sparrow 12.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Lunar Impact (GB) 15.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Seahawk Mary 50.00 11.5 22-1
10 10 Side by Side 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Cougar Ii S.) – Cougar Ii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bye Bye Bobby 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kitten Mischief 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Azul Coast 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Kiss Today Goodbye 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Ghazaaly 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Rimprotector 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Order and Law 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Giovinazzo 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Horace Mann 5.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 X J Rascal (IRE) 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Almendares (GB) 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Boss Sully 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Eastbound 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Smart Code 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Phosphorescence (FR) 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bolt Supremacy 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Upward Mobility 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 El Perfecto 30.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Seventeen Black 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Themainprotagonist (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Raging Torrent 0 0-1
2 2 Tall Paul 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Raging Torrent 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Rothschild 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mirahmadi 1.60 4.9 9-1
8 8 Pony Express 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Miracle Mark 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Express Line 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Boltage 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 I Win Again 20.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Mary’s Boy Bolt 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Wickerr S.) – Wickerr S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Evening Sun (GB) 6.00 1 2-1
7 6 Du Jour 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Lamplighter Jack 20.00 4 8-1
8 7 Time to Party 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Irideo (ARG) 3.50 6.1 12-1
10 9 Cash Equity (FR) 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Flavius 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 6.00 6.9 13-1
14 13 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Restrainedvengence 30.00 7.2 14-1
13 12 Hit the Road 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Salesman (IRE) 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 98 Whatmakessammyrun 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zoe’s Pride 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lone Mountain Girl 6.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Camp Bashors Candy 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Boginskaya 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Twin Soul 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Kaylas Joy 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Rosie Ann Rules 10.00 5.2 10-1
13 12 Ocean of Lies 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Ryder’s Candy 6.00 6 11-1
11 11 Ipanema Girl 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Miss Obey 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Just Is 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 98 Turquoise Bikini 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Jacks Outlaw 10.00 1 2-1
11 9 Give Me the Lute 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Mo Them Down 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Overdue 3.50 2.7 5-1
14 12 Hembree 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Light Fury 12.00 3.9 7-1
12 10 Vanzzy 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Comradery (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1
13 11 Commander Khai 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Nero Tulip (GB) 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Irish Heatwave 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 98 Our Silver Oak 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Neptune’s Storm 20.00 SCRATCH
8 98 No Slo Mo 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.