Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wyfire 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Strike That 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Handr’sdream 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tetsu 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Windribbon 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Chasing Fame 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Self Taught 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 C’Mon Man 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Soul of Midnight 4.00 1 2-1
10 9 Economical 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Charlie’s Ghost 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Group Hug 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Aurelian Man 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Smiling At Val 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Spiritist 3.00 6 11-1
5 4 Jam Session 4.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Missed Call 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 98 Sir Flatter 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ice Storm 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 All the King’s Men 8.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Dual Threat 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Stella Boy 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 San Jac 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Len’s Luck 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Buffett 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 King Heat 12.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Rippin’ Ruis (AUS) 5.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Missing Them 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 12 Upright 5.00 SCRATCH
12 98 The Key Is Unity 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Finding Love 5.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Diamonds Preferred 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ruby Nell 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Astor 3.50 1.9 3-1
9 9 Carole Lombard 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Miss Lizzy 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Free and Humble 10.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Una Palabra 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Swall 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Luminiferous 10.00 8 15-1
7 7 Alvina (FR) 4.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Minedandrefined 30.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Tea N Conversation 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Borntostaythirsty 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kitzkaty 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Conquest Celsius 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Raising Silver 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bella Vienna 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ebok’s Dream Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tequila Mia 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Dance Ella Dance 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Putt for Dough 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Signora Vittoria 20.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Hot Danzing 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Asada Fries 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Only One America 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Pondergating 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Principe Carlo 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moose Mitchell 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Go Joe Won 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Positivity 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Affable 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Escape Route 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Howbeit 4.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Brazenly 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Osunitas S.) – Osunitas S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Very Scary 6.00 1 2-1
12 11 Honey Pants 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Awake At Midnyte 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Ascendancy 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Freedom Flyer 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Ladywearsthering 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Nevisian Sunrise 5.00 4.5 8-1
13 12 Anthonys Cleopatra 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Warrens Candy Girl 5.00 5.9 11-1
15 14 Lucky Girl (IRE) 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Over Attracted 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Canoodling 5.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Una Chiquitita (CHI) 20.00 8.5 16-1
14 13 Symphony Perfect (IRE) 12.00 8.6 16-1
16 15 Turnerloose 8.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Paris Peacock (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dua 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Ur in Trouble 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Hope Road 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Mocha Grande 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ashley 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 April Vintage 10.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Feisty Mitole 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Petite Ange 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pretty Layla 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Wicked Desire 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (San Clemente S.) – San Clemente S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Wed (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
9 8 Ocean Club 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Delight 5.00 2.1 4-1
14 13 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Anisette (GB) 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Flying Connection 20.00 3.1 6-1
12 11 Comanche Country (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ancient Peace 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Olivia Twist 50.00 4.8 9-1
15 14 Broadway Girls 10.00 5.1 10-1
13 12 Fast and Shiny 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Spicybug 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Paris Secret (IRE) 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 And Tell Me Nolies 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 98 Infinite Diamond 0.00 SCRATCH
16 15 Justique 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Buraq’s Reflection 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Dr. No No 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Donnie the Chiro 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Chromeflash 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mici’s Express 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Potito 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Capo Luigi 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Petesoldfashioned 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Immelmann 12.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 I Will Be King 12.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Dance Man 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Just a Guess 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Episode Five 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lord Prancealot 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cane Creek Road 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Baj 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Vancougar 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Tio Magico 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sarwar (FR) 3.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lottery Pick 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Mischelof (CHI) 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Dominant Soul 20.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Liberal (IRE) 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Finneus 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Halfbarberbingie 8.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Muhammad Ali (PER) 30.00 11.5 22-1
13 13 Fly the Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jack Sixpack 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.