Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Anchises | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Code | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxhole | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Same Old Fears | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Every Four Years | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Billy the Greek | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sam’s Treasure | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Concerto | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reverend Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shards | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rosebug | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Braganza | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Girl | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Headland | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Mamaluke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bodock | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Order of Magnitude | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland Blues | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Ride | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Portos | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classic Mark | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Curlin S.) – Curlin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scotland | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Sevens | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Ark | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perform | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Il Miracolo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Tie Breaker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steerage | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vaunted | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alpha Sonny | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden One | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impulsive Spending | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s Not My Fault | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sinaloa | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodside Warrior | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Under the Knife | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sin Nombre | 4.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Tyrannosaurus Rex | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ripe for Mischief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Academy Choice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | War Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bankingonachance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | O Captain | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catch That Party | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Spirit | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Baby Billy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | C Falls | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Medicine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hilliard | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Costa Terra | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Danzigwiththestars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lord Flintshire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tiz a Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Mo Z | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Clever Thought | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Irwin (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abadin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treaty Obligation | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Motivo | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Create Trouble | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Keeper | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coalville | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silo Ridge | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Night Out | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucency | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brees | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unclecharliesgift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Artorius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Future | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Bias | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuchar | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Blue | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curbstone | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Reds | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Point | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constitutionlawyer | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lake George S.) – Lake George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liguria | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Revalita (FR) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Money | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Miss Moonlight | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tax Implications (GB) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tryinmyheartout | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Bettina | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surge Capacity | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Picasso (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Utilization Rate (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Chase | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tony O | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lt. Mitchell | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Good Here | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Hill | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Border Patrol | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tip of the Boot | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Utamaro | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bastion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Impazible Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Screw Loose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stow On the Wold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Prix de West | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chulligan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Slapintheface | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Paschal Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.