Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El Patojo 1.50 1 2-1
4 4 Capt Complicated 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sette Stelle 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Social Joe 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Twirling Charlie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Entrust 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calypso Ghost 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Chica Rabiosa 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Reiterate 1.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Kirby 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Some Is Nine 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Anginetti 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Arrow 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Chalcolithic 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Gwynedd 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Happy Union 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Soleada 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 Ojitos Bellos 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cora’s Choice 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Search 1.60 1.4 3-1
9 9 Lilli Rose 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 One Clear Moment 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Ariana Valentina 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Carbonel 10.00 11.1 21-1
2 2 Lookin At Kisses 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 No Sharing 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Medb 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Savannah’s Sugar 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Social Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Allie’s Halo 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flashy Fig (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Putthepastbehind 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Run Poppy 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 McCrakens Ghost 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Finally Captured 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Coronova 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Warrior’s Vendetta 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hot Love 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy for Carmel 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Urban Myth 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Swing Low 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Steady John 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Summer Silence 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Who’s Counting 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crisper 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Parquetry 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Loose Ends 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Nautilus 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Polterer 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ardanwood 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mr Thrifty 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Noneedtoworry 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 First to Last 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ruthenian 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Hard Mission 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Spectrier 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sidney’s Bid 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Citi Creek 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Blackwater Falls 10.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.