Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Far West 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tembo 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Universal Payday 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Good Juju 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tone Feelin 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Settecento 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 My Indy 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Sol Del Sur 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Next Revolt 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Big Buzz 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 98 Mike Operator 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Granada Flavor 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncle Reg 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bye Bye Ray 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Dazzlemesilver 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Central Dispatch 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Park City 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Dr. Venkman 4.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Broadway Unions 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Mauna Kea Bound 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Thrust 8.00 9 17-1
8 8 Fifty Cinco 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tea Tree Bay (GB) 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 La Peer 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 North East Star (IRE) 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Oak Street Beach 6.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Encolpion 20.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Strikingly 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bolt’s Broad 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Firsttimeinforever 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 My Moon 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Royale Delta 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Irish Myth 20.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Proud Mary 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Den of Iniquity (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Curly Esa 0 0-1
2 2 Santos to Wilson 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Heir (FR) 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Flint Stroll 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Corn Pop 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sai Con (FR) 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Careless Kitten 4.00 5 9-1
9 9 Curly Esa 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Mongolian Legend 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 City of Champions 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Brutto 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tenth Street Don 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Don’t Worry Boss 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smile Baby Smile 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Lighting and Reign 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dorie Miller 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Talent for Gold 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sky Sailing 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Big Rainbow 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Safa 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Peppertini 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Annie Fox 12.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Hot Danzing 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Signora Vittoria 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kitzkaty 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dance Ella Dance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liberty Forever 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Helladic 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 King Apollo 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ambivalent 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Chasin Munny 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Rexford 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Hot Rod Rumble 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sauls Call 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Yogi Boy 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 American Outlaw 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Fayathaan (IRE) 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Barsabas 20.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 Took Charge 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Clooney 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Goldeneye 5.00 1 2-1
11 10 Deservedly 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Two Rivers Over 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Big Hat Willie 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Cardiff Crack 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Thirty Four Coupe 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Keen to Go 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Stan From Malibu 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jimmy the Boot 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 98 Carpe Bellum 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Caesars Sportsbook Oceanside S.) – Caesars Sportsbook Oceanside S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classical Cat 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kid Azteca 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Escape Artist 3.50 4.1 8-1
13 13 Game Time 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Conclude 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mas Rapido (GB) 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Ah Jeez 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Zalamo (FR) 8.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Mr Fisk 8.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 El Oro (FR) 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Ever a Rebel 20.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Agency 15.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Ze’bul 30.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Panic Alarm (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Del Mar Jerry 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mister Iceman 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Princip 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Reiquist 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hard to Figure 5.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Tahoe Sunrise 8.00 5 9-1
11 11 Touchdown Brown 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Kingdom Heart 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Departure 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Sir Atticus 5.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Rifey 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Divemaster 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Crosby Beach 6.00 1 2-1
11 10 Yes This Time 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Twist (FR) 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Don’t Swear Dave 20.00 2 4-1
6 5 Balladeer 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Lure Him In 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Astronomer 12.00 4 8-1
9 8 Flashiest 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Seven Charms 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Tesoro 15.00 7.9 15-1
13 12 Majestic Eagle 12.00 8.5 16-1
12 11 Tarantino 20.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Lamplighter Jack 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.