Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (A.p. Smithwick Memorial H.) – A.p. Smithwick Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Welshman | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noah And The Ark (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gordon’s Jet (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Newton (GB) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddy Flintshire | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Historic Heart (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salvino (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Belfast Banter (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redicean (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cloud Forest | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Bob | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Steady Progress | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Union Tap | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Golden Purchase | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Hineni | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Memphis | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Vigano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maddie’s Grace | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Western Lane | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Now Showing | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flip My Id | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Foot | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Dagger | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sa Foradada | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Try It Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Boss of All | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carbon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mursal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 7 | Musical Heart | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Great Workout | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grumps Little Tots | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Souper Catch | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Dontbelate | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breadman | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Treasure Trove | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Jumpster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Bourbon’s Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Smitty Run | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginnsu Warrior | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Excess Demand | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dee’s Speedstre | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Frappucino | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reunion Tour | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Weekend | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papi On Ice | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Ways | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sun and Wind | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khozy Colby | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ilikefunsize | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Martini | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flowers for Me | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cami | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bertrille | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lisa’s Palace | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ginuccha | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Almond Fudge | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Takes Cash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tempting Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa’s Vision | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Masterof the Tunes | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lisa’s Vision | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im Just Kiddin | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Home for Christmas | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dufresne | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collaboration | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toolcat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Rocket | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Colors | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cinderella’s Cause | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amanda’s Folly | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sixtythreecaliber | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Sixtythreecaliber | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Sixtythreecaliber | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Stroll | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gerrymander | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nostalgic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Movie Moxy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dekanter | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gun Boat | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleetfooted | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Miss Domina | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anna Karenine (FR) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Mombo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cadencia | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hihellohowareyou | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Cupid’s Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Linzee | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mz Big Bucks | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernt Again | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Akeela | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clover Street | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Moon | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Orange Freeze | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queens Over Threes | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bea Bea Kaz | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.