Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sanpirodu 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Strong Venezuela 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Down in the Valley 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 No Problem Joe 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Flight Catcher 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hechicero 20.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 It’s a Hot One 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Billy the Greek 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Calling All Angels (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Coco 1.40 1.2 2-1
4 4 Kitty Quick 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Damaso 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Harlan’s Legacy 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Domo Arigatou 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Another Duke 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Lord Jaxston 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Astral Weeks 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Super Curioso (ARG) 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Nature Boy 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Assert Dominance 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sun Viking 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ransom Style 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Breaking Bullet 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Lovely Drama 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Antrim 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Castle Born 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 R Awesome Sauce 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Samurai’sdon’tcry 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Subtle Senorita 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Britney Spurs 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Hydria 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Areuokwiththis 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miles of Smiles 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s a Joy 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 La Runa 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tribute 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ave Fenix 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Vacation Suite 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Puppet Master 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Accomplished Girl 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Ornela (CHI) 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Time Passage 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Li Li Bear 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Madeforsummer 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Vigil Anna 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flag Woman 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Vai Bella 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Sleepychipmunk 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 T Ville 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 D. Silo 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cupid’s Dude 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Millennium Condo 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Swift Kid 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Forty Flash 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Euphoria Star 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Long Range Toddy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gangly 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Zydeceaux 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lightning Tones 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Brooklyn Strong 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Black Belt 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Donnie G 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Etretat 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Commander Biz 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Black Shaman 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Uncaptured Tiger 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Skyhooper 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Baltic Mule 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Noble Tiger 12.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Arte de Guerra 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.