Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Laveau 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Miss Unconcerned 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sharp Pippa 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Moon Rose 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Uncaptured Skeet 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 For the Thrill 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Secret to Success 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Overrun 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Just Take Notes 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mist 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bianca Luna 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Wellton Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ladida 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 New Diamond 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dream Diamond 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 David’s Rose 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rapturous 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Nikee Kan 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sequin Lady 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lovin Makes Cents 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Beantown Baby 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Prudent Song 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Adios Gary 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lieutenant Stan 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Wow Wish 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cooler King 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Best Defense 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Awesome Crusader 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lord Eddard Stark 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Call Me Spicy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silvia V’s Heroes 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dan’s Candi Girl 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Love Rhapsody 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 One Smokin’ Rita 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hits Different 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Longing for Mints 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 My Chutzpah 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Apache Ride 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heals the Soul 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Martini 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cross Haste 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boris 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Song Runner 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Commandant 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Uncaptured Star 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tepper 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 North Carolina 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Il Malandrino 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sebaray 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Duke Skywalker 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dream of Blessings 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 Sha Tin 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Danley 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rough and Rowdy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Carsown 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dollar Bill 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Propellant 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Brooklyn Dreams 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Partner Tours 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 The Doorman 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Royal Fox Hills 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.