Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Bay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Virtual Reality | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sabra Tuff | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bea Star | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Gateway | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Money | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toned Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Hi | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Moscato | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Blitz | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soca | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Hi | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Keg | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly a Test | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Dijon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Mischief | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Island | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Gaze | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabulous Fanny | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Ready | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liana B | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Aguililla | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosemary Potatoes | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linarite | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devilly | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mostly Harmless | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Star Devine (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Salimah (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Messidor (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kalifornia Queen (GER) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Poca Mucha | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sister Otoole | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Canisy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Sixtythreecaliber | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dust Devil | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Victory | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Two Thirty Five | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Portos | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Pit Boss | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Silver Dust | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Mount Travers | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Cut the Cord | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Olliemyboy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Styner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Runningwscissors | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Rough Draft | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yarrow | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bar Fourteen | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Me ‘n Sap | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Phantom Smoke | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winners Laugh | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Amundson | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nueva York | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Radio Red | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Obrigada | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Condiment Girl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carbon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sa Foradada | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miscreant | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Need Some Money | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Jal | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Rose | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mursal | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Reply | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingfish Stevens | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unleash the Power | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chileno | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Born a Gambler | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderian | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Front Man | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Consultant | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foliage | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Grant | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bricco | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sonic Speed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dreampoint | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dreaming of Toga | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Schuylerville S.) – Schuylerville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky’s Joker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Closing Act | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmelina | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wine On Tap | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss for Luck | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Secret | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sugar Treat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Becky’s Joker | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Suit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Diana | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Status Seeker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mila Junes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stone of Destiny | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arisaema | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | April First | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Here We Go Again | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power and Glory | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jannie Mae | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charisse | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Follow the Fed | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Are You | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pimenova | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Katherine | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Thundara | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Berning Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alterina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bella Sonadora | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sperss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.