Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stellwagen Banker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Remedy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commission Always | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Estilo Clasico | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catchhimandfreehim | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Devil | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Candy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compass Fire | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Lilly | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Heart | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maria’s Honor | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Ruby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Kitten | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beads | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amirati | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Fabulous | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Living in Style | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liking It Twisted | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daily Briefing | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soupster | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Some Is Nine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Me Again | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Priestess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Colton | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Czar | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Tact Toe | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lying Jeff | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Airman | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Man to See | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out of Towner | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Last Second Louie | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tucker Road | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rushin Tothecircle | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Chella | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Charlie | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Distorted Times | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hidden Rod | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Be Honest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Edgy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luckbealadytonight | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thea’s Theme | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blunt Force | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Super Sally | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Between Dreams | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mo Stylish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Berks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tappin Cat | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sue Loves Barbados | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cannon’s Roar | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Meister | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shackqueenking | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fole’s Notion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Steady John | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Red Eagle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fun Notion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sustenance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home School | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Joke | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boyd’s Band | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principe | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toro Forward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.