Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Tickles | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Joey Tickles | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Alex | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subscribed | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chica Chuck | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wesley Thomas | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Tiger | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Binoche | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suzy Q the Queen | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lizzies Red Velvet | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beargrease | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmydabook | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expect a Circus | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Dooby Doo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mulsanne (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maybe It’s Time | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practicallymine | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Buffalo | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Word for Word | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alliworshipnadore | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Entrust | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grunion | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swallow Beach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exit Right | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Flying | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Redemption | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bahama Channel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Spoke | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamite Karma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maythehorsebwithu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seiver | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louise Brooks | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Just Quality | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Sass | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Filtered Light | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magnificent Pearl | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Earley Rose | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constitutionalrage | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morethanastorm | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reaching Stride | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ojitos Bellos | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All the Way Mae | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doin’ittherightway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Pride | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Thrill | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Network | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiny Tin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hrothgar | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am That I Am | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Downtown Katie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Izzybella | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Murph | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Thoughts | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Neecie Marie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mosalah | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brummagem | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mavilus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Caironi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Intrepid Daydream | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Honeycamp | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats a Superstar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemonsanddiamonds | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Job’s Not Finished | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowgirl Hop | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ivy Way | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Pact | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normalizeddeviance | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.