Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Prime Time Porta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salsation | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eligio | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Halo Uncle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ace of Clubs | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Fact Or Fiction | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Way | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy L | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shvere Arbeter | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Movinglikeawinner | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Benedetta | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayley Amber | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaliforna K | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tambo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Muppet | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Heights | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Debt Monger | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speeding Style | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Facts Matter | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Cheddar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Creek | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oil Can Knight | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Worcester | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adventuresome | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Fire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucino | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classically | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat On | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Choochies | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Tears | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Street | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | We Need Marketing | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie’s Ghost | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger’s Arrow | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La’och Aloysius | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Brother Mike | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distant Steppes | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pat Can’t Count | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Dream | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Thirsty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rosy Edge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Thoughts | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teen Drama | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dallas Alice | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spoiled Rotten | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zzyzx | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Empress | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Lasting Love | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Ju Forget | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Essential Business | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss My Kat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Girly Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Sunrise | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Los Alamitos Derby) – Los Alamitos Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Abu Dhabi | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Reincarnate | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Abu Dhabi | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abeliefinthislivin | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skinner | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Mo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Brick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.