Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Energy Efficient | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maryland Moon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Art | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pietrelcina | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Covert Kat | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theolovesawinner | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will’s Music | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rector | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swing Sammy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Act Lively | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elon | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Praline’s Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Beauty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Victorina | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fashionatta | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cage Fighter | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icestorming | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shake It Girl | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exclusive Rose | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Souper Tropical | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Rome | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abstract Moment | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cora’s Choice | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ginamaya | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warwick River | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bizzy Bizzy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Admission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spun in a Million | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Rock Rose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Queen | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Complete Surprise | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Canoodle | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Paper Mansion | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Shesasuperfreak | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Flicker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Circling the Drain | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riccio | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crabs N Beer | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trash Talkin Larry | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samui Sunset | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Man | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Too | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | He Hate Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Askin for a Baskin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Last Mission | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Gold | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amedeus Music | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heads Or Tails | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Military Hop | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stardust Ziggy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Feral’s Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hard Traveler | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faringdon | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sig | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaking Suspicion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Jackal | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Money Mo Betta | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Covee | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cinder Hills | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Occasional Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Secret | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Galerio | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Threes | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Bound | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern District | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wish for Peace | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Storm | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southpaw Mike | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seville Row | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calloway Peak | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Prince of Portland | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daredavite | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nicky Bear | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unorthodox | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bee Major | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor My World | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Transfer the Funds | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.