Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Magic Cross 0 0-1
1 1 Sugar N Spice 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Devil At Midnight 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Exhilarate 2.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Seven Natty Patty 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Magic Cross 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Dorothy’s Dreams 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 La Picasita 8.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 My Starship 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drink the Wind 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Zertz 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Cool Quartet 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Caribbean (AUS) 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Moliere 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Forever Wicked 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mucho Sunshine 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spun Special 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Doral 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Classic Performer 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Risk Free 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Positive Message (GB) 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Party Is Over 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Empathy 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Romeinaday 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Portage 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bouncer 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Return the Ring 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Leddy 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Handsome Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 On the Come Up 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Fenwick 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Suburban S.) – Suburban S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Charge It 0.60 1 2-1
1 1 Tonal Impact 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Unbridled Bomber 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Clapton 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Red Run 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Weekend Rags 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Loon Cry 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Royal Dancer 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Quick Power Nap 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sikum 8.00 5 10-1
11 11 Longlive the Queen 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I’m Nervous Now 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ranting 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Candy Monet 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Robyn and Eli 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Kreesa La Wrote 30.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Towering Gaze 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Stones 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majority Partner 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Vittorio 1.40 2.9 5-1
6 6 Dot’s Dollar 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Twenty Four Mamba 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sagamore Mischief 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Milton the Monster 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Business Model 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Aspen Grove (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mission of Joy 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Papilio (IRE) 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Prerequisite 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Aspray 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Speirling Beag (IRE) 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Be Your Best (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Freydis the Red (FR) 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Strikingly Spun 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Inflation Nation (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Elusive Edge 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Drakon 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dark Vector 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Appraise (IRE) 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Clubhouse 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Famous Gent 10.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Soulmate 15.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Aruba 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Carpe’s Dream 30.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 What Say Thee 15.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Air Show 20.00 8.6 16-1
14 14 Twelth Man 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sosua Summer 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Derby Invitational S.) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 The Foxes (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kalik 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Far Bridge 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Wizard of Westwood 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Webslinger 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Mondego (GB) 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Mendelssohns March 30.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Cyber Ninja 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Boppy O 12.00 9 17-1
6 6 Silver Knott (GB) 6.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Redistricting (GB) 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Victory Ride S.) – Victory Ride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maple Leaf Mel 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Red Carpet Ready 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dazzling Blue 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Downtown Mischief 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Interpolate 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Topsy 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Vahva 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Adeliese’s Smile 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Boston Strong Mama 0 0-1
Boston Strong Mama 0 0-1
2 2 Blue Plate Special 3.00 1 2-1
13 13 Heroneandonly 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Screw Loose 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Kern River 4.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Leftembehind 5.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Reap What You Sow 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Bay Bank 15.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Burn Jakey Burn 12.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 It’s Not My Fault 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Sinaloa 10.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Boston Strong Mama 8.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Gio’s Majesticness 30.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Onofrio 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Strategyforyou 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 War Prince 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Uncle Marty 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.