Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Charlie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Patojo | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dagda | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sette Stelle | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Social Joe | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Element | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidney’s Bid | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruthenian | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Colora Kid | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am It | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Irishman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Timber | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yatta | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finicky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luis Alberto | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Rogue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mortal Sin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lee Alejandro | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nutella Fella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Master of Malice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seeing Red | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onehandsomedude | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wootdareitis | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rascally Rebel | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minister Quinn | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gregoria’s Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Citi Creek | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pressing Concern | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saafen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glossamer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winter Princess | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Me Closer | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shaolin | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Romantic Comedy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wine Time | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party Monster | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosalah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lorraine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spotted Bull | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Star | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Touchdown Montage | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 1.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sentir Zuliano | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redeem Eddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sister Cloudy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All About Me | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Michele M. | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inanna’s Quest | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In a Spin | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Tails | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Synonymous | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Color Crush | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | High Vibes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Humor Sense | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shemademeblush | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Worst Idea | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sundog | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flirtini | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancinonthebeach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.