Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ballyhoo Prince | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of None | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Food Foodie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beyond the Pale | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pursuing Pace | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sorolla | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mosley Natural | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bunker Hill | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Prendergast | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alottacents | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Evie’s Prince | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Switzer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Northern Tick Tock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seanow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dialing Dixie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spitball | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backatya | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mice and Men | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forty Comets | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Up for It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Negra Gata | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Her Cups | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nineteenamendment | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Circle Home | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Mountain | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Josie Wales | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gilda’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Hour | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scarlett Strong | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kentucky Reign | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | All I Want Is You | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tea Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Box N Ben | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolly by Golly | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Zone | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Fun Son | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prins Fire | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Stars | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Andrew | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tijuana Brass | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backwoods Boogie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ace Nine Nine | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mint Game | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Love | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Continental Divide | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Resident Liberal | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Conquest | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mystic Link | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Joe Phillips | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ghostlighter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Greg’s Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Infinite Series | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Syntax | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delegated | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Home School | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mudville Nine | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Granville’s Garden | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Money Room | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Last Jumpstart | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wingin and Singin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Heartburn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sing Scat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Believe in Freedom | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Storm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bletchley Girl | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singalong | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lace | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy My Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Supersnake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fashionatta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thencomemorning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sevier | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forloveofcountry | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Frontier | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up Against It | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never Change | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Thunder | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot Themessenger | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince Pere | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tauber | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zip Line to Heaven | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tall Order | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chiringo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flight of Bourbon | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sam Stormy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odinson | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenax | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Monster Mason | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Manolito | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cryo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kenner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Rowdy Dan | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vail of Honor | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Offense | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judy’s Army | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jones Falls | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cypres Station | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.