Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Iris Royal Jess 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Dickey Bob 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Azola Baban 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Relentless Legacy 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fly Donna Fly 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Takin Jacque 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Kays Dynasty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bhr Flashing Nickers 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 My Rockin Jess 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Red Surprise 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 U Cankissmy Jazz 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Randys Lady 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Kynetic 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Hmm Goodheart 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Kqs Dreaming 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kt Shelia Cartel 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Andori 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Dc Fusion 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Gamble With Corona 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Call It Corona 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Badrapidfastcat 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ts Another Aquaflash 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Ts Exit With a Win 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 My Valiants Fire 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Kt Rapid Fury 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Casanovas Racy Miss 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rising Sun 123 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dennis the Mennis 2.50 1.3 2-1
9 9 Hasta Be Ivory 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 I Know the Cowboy 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 El Patron B 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Chanel Gypsy 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Darlin Hold On 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Nsm Jessysrelentless 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Eos Save a Cowboy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drill’s Li’l Man 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Colonel Klink 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Broadway 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Swaggy George 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Milton Street 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Candy’s Little Tip 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Molly Bye O 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Climb to Glory 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Firebaugh 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Can’t Make Me 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Streakin’ Easy 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stargrazer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Graves Mill Road 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gerard 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Tizhotndusty 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Lightning Struck 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Pop’s Biscuit 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Americain Joey 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Guided Arrow 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Panzer Pride 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Tripp’s Hit 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Skyflyer 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Constitution Day 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rudiano 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Speedbayou 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Classy Crowe 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Holiday Ticket 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Eskenforit 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Blueskiesandangels 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Mapache G 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Awesome Family 15.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Captain Don 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hunk of a Hit 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Rainbow Gold 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fit and Famous 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Girls in Charge 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Damascus Gate 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Demidanu 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Peggy Rules 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Raisin Raisin 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star of Mine 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tap the Brakes 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Weller Rogue 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Espe’s Guy 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dreadpirateroberts 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Justice Once 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Pistol Packin Man 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Midnight Rules 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.