Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Giver Not a Taker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patron d’Oro | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mor Tequila | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Iceman | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir London | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anmer Hall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Professors’ Pride | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Lynn | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Bluegrass | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Paleo’s Princess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reef City | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Acceleray | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Boy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reef City | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Circle the Moon | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Everybody | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chicknfingerfriday | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Prospect | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravestone | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nauvoo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Curly | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L L L Cool | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Len’s Luck | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Time | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girth | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Hornet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Octopus | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Treasure | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exhalting | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blameless | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Special | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pedro Perez | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ardtrea | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truth Prevails | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glitter Lake | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asylum | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Song | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Verrazano | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jaycee | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bochombo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subsidize | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant’s Brite Eye | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Man | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moraweth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colt Fiction | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.