Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gratia 0 0-1
1 1 Overrun 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Castle Born 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Krabi 1.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gratia 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 I Love Ireland 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Insatiable Eva 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Heart of the Beast 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fone Your Mom 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Song and Tap 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bentornato 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Effect 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Vito’s Brother 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dewy’s Beast 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Hechicero 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Saint No More 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lukas Prince 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kinison 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Hard to Fathom 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Hello Sucker 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Racket 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Dream of Blessings 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Truth and Honesty 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Impetuous Soul 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 No Angel 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Executive Search 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Lucago 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bright Devil (IRE) 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Eternal Flame 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Frenchmen Street 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Thenorthremembers 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Federal Exchange 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 R Adios Jersey 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Poiema 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Starship Nala 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Muted 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Yuki (CHI) 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Vita Da Mamma (CHI) 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Shea D Lady 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cherokee 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Fiona’s Magic 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Win Nay 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Good Bright Flames 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Baraband 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Elyanna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Parchita 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Speightful Sis 8.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Musical Journey 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Talk Much 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Girl Bye 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Win Dixie Ronnie 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shez Speightful 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ave Fenix 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Cozys Palace 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Light and Path 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Vai Bella 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 She’s a Joy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Major Pryce 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Law Machine 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Upstreet 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Greek Mojo 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Killargue’s Girl 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 La Runa 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bonnie Sandra 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Da Journeygirl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mannix (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Treasure King 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kartano 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ambor Night 15.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Merlin 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Alasdair 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hakkimi (CHI) 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Caxambas Candy 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cashier Check 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Smile Sprint S.) – Smile Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starship Renegade 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Todo Fino (CHI) 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 Dean Delivers 2.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Big and Classy 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Spankster 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Willy Boi 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Doc Amster 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Figureti (CHI) 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Valley 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Undalay 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 On Jet Heir 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 King of Truth 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Fast Fixer 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Joyful Surprise 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Pluma Roja 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tejota 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Getaway 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.