Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trotting Gear | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shiloh | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Rose | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret of Saratoga | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickstyle | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Subtle Faith | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me Love | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Planet Frolic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Express | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harrington | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make Decisions | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Stakes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Ghost | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lyte Crude | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Immense Faith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mabee Luckynwild | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shall Return | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rasmalai | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Outta Here | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Home | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raw Honey | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammy’s Town | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Check the Grade | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bullock | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extra Indy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blazingly | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Petal | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temerity | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velocissima | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ylang Ylang | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildcat Star | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Aria | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greek Mojo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Monforte | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Armando | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Striker | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Mar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dear Dad | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tigre | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Wizard | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Top Maverick | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Humor | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Right Karma | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adios Papa Chico | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzig Chips | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solomons Gold | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Nectar | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Daddy Dave | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stat | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hunter | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irwani (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Eclipse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Swashbuckle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Slim Slow Slider | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Data | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Emergency Response | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty the Soldier | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Millennium | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nyquest Nix | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Norfie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontkissdaminister | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Katz | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ferocious Beast | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.