Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Raichu 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Smooth Waves 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dr. Ray D. 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sea Dancer 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Classy Mischief 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Talavera 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Hidden Spin 8.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 My Starship 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Dorothy’s Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hi’iaka 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gala Brand 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sister Serendipity 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pressure 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Copper Chalice 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Moving Pictures 4.00 5 9-1
3 3 Playingwithmatches 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Makar 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ginnsu Warrior 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Slipstream 3.50 1 2-1
7 8 Sheriff Bianco 1.20 SCRATCH
1 2 Yes and Yes 2.50 2 4-1
1A 3 Thin White Duke 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 4 Voodoo Zip 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Cazadero 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 5 Heaven Street 3.00 7.7 14-1
6 7 Lucky Curlin 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 9 Mr Phil 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Just a Nyquist 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oh Donna 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Racing Colors 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Simple Sugar 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 April Antics 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Super Duper Fly 2.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Amity Island 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fly Right 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wild Guess 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sacred Rhyme 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Whenlovetakesover 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Headline News 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Fluorescent Bay 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Nostalgic One 10.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Swore 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Penner Ash (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Country 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Magnolia Midnight 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Hereby 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Truebelieve 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Science (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 He’s Got It 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Arrio 2.50 8.7 16-1
4 4 Prince of Joy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Celestial Moon 3.50 1 2-1
6 7 Galt 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Guntown 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 5 Double Crown 6.00 4.1 8-1
1A 6 Outlier 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Constitutionlawyer 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 4 Practical Coach 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Anatolian 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Pegs A. K. Girl 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Lay the Groundwork 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Highland Grace 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Out of Sight 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mariah’s Fortune 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lullaby Land 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sister Bridget (IRE) 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Rhombique 4.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Bustin Bay 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Financial Advice (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Diamond Status 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Freedom for All 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Whiskey Lullaby 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Amy 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Meow Meow Hiss 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Cant Keep Me Down 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Katie’s Checkride 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Wicksiepixie 30.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Party At Grants 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.