Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tf Toast to Jess | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idtakeherforaride | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Bar Signs | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Razen Cane | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smith Am King | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Attitude | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynasty Jane | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Windsome | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wr Mafia Princesa | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepinitconfidential | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calliope | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jambalaya and Corona | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Fabulous Hero | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tf Special Freight | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jess Southard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dupontonfire | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Political Fire | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ts Perry Kool | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy and Corona | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Rock Candy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Kvn Home | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rtm Belle | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Cute | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Say It Nicely | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone With the Finn | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Invasion | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shut Up Man | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Rocket Science | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colorful Native | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Diva | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Amelia | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Angel | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Laura | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | X Ray Vision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Not a Joke | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Ash | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Cost | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forgot the Roses | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run With Pride | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Convalidation | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blow Torch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Replete | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penetrator | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abundant | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferocity | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbowed | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Impressor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cole Spur | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Dude | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Maker | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robust | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Explosive Pride | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Chief | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Colors | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ain’t So Bad | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Guard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annual Budget | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rowdy Ray | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C R Insta Gator | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Com Dreamin | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lancelot N Elaine | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Posse | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Showboat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poe Mans Ride | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higgam | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Boy Blue | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babys Time to Sing | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day Money | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Sock Billy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tail of Samson | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.