Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stan From Malibu | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carol’s Comic | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last One Perk | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right Turn | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Tripping | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Soul | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses R Blue | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noisey Burglar | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Hoping | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nene Romano | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luka Grazie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Tears | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fordy G | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get the Gold | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riggsalicious | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Get Me Wrong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reign Over Me | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chain Gang | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger’s Arrow | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds Preferred | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat Can’t Count | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Erebus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Need Marketing | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irondale | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Heat | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Everybody | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal Klinger | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Spot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Magician | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Brees | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tembo | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Recall | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Signora Minister | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teen Drama | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Liliana | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spoiled Rotten | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Sugar | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friendly Shuffle | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Vronsky Style | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upward Mobility | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Ransom | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Gary | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Splash | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Lightning | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Fast Smile | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bertrando S.) – Bertrando S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kings River Knight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovesick Blues | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desmond Doss | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positivity | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalinga Road | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.