Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mount Up | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treaty Obligation | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Night Out | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Chant | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coalville | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasing the Crown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verbal | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easter (FR) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Channels | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky and Sand | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionlawyer | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Greatest Love | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trade Secret | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raffinity | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vallarand | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carly Hustle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Bullet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Act of Congress | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lola Flo | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brisky Frolic | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Try It Again | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Lane | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss of All | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Towering Gaze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bella Principessa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Gaze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Baby Sox | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noted | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Wave | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mayor Jack | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Culprit | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Please Advise | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Vintage (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend Concerto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dangerous Driver | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Star Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gun It | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 2 | Cees Get Degrees | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nova Rags | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Secret Rules | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Gun It | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Colonel Bowman | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Engine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unique Unions | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Ghost | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daufuskie Island | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scilly Cay | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Deputy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lifelovenlaughter | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Root Cause | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quarrel | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Brass Bed | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stephanie’s Charm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tryinmyheartout | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Kimmie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap It Up | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hilliard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K P All Systems Go | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splendid Summer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arrio | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prayer Book | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sonic Speed | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voliero | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cumberland Blues | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fingal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blu Grotto | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.