Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Possibly Perfect S.) – Possibly Perfect S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Buzz of New York (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Queen Ofthe Temple 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Neige Blanche (FR) 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Australia Mia 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Zeyaraat 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
El Mero Mero 0 0-1
Muth 0 0-1
6 6 Muth 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Osage Creek 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pleaseusetheportal 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Harry Houdini 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 El Magnifico 8.00 5 10-1
2 2 El Mero Mero 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kitty Kitana (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eddie’s New Dream 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Honey Jar 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Very Scary 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Leisurewear (IRE) 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Seisai (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Ever Smart 5.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Angel Nadeshiko 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kiss My Kat 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bella Renella 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Why Behave 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Wrong Turn Cupid 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Flat Out Joy 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Shanghai Sunrise 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Back On the Street 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (San Juan Capistrano S.) – San Juan Capistrano S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Offlee Naughty 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Duvet Day (IRE) 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Opry 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Rimprotector 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Planetario (BRZ) 3.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Birth of Cool 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roy Hobbs 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mister Bold 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 My Man Bags 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Stay in the Game 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Thirsty Pappy 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Rookie Mistake 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Sawasdee 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Seattle Breakout 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Man Overboard 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paleo’s Princess 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hotitude 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Golden Microphone 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Squared Shady 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Kleen Karma 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Boss Lady 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Stay and Scam 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Wishtheyallcouldbe 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Norah’s Princess 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sargent Lee 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Midnight Fury 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Elwood Blues 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Extortion 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Captain Choochies 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Broadway Unions 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Conquering King 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Mohawk Sun 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Sir Atticus 6.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 The Giants Candy 8.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Fifth Street 4.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Johnny Drama 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Magic Game 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Organic 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Idessia 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ruff Ride 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Smoove as Silk 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Sapadilla 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Heavenly Kisses 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Exclusively Noble 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Benster 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Never Not Once 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Glacier Rim 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flying Drummer 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ever a Rebel 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Oviatt Class 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Manitowish 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Murray 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Divine Armor 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Got Thunder 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Tone Feelin 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sol Del Sur 15.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Blue Dog 15.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Good Juju 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Departure 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Itzel 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Procrastination 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Alvina (FR) 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Long Mayshe Reign 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Spicybug 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Port Ellen (IRE) 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 With Love (GB) 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Anybody’s Choice 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Havana Angel (IRE) 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Precision Strike 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Caribbean King 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Mega Moon 12.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Heartbreak Kid 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 St Ignacio 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Defensor Fortis 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mystification 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Bring Him Home 30.00 6 11-1
10 10 Quality Wins 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Hula Candy 4.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Arromax 12.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Big Attitude 30.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Chay’s Tornado 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Yellow Brick 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.