Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ilikefunsize 0 0-1
Wine On Tap 0 0-1
3 3 Just the Oaks 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ilikefunsize 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wine On Tap 0.80 4 8-1
5 5 Looks First 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 Devil At Midnight 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pleasant Passage 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Veronica Greene 1.60 3.8 7-1
6 6 For the Flag 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cupid’s Strike 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 I’m Buzzy 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Know It All Audrey 1.40 SCRATCH
7 7 Dancing Sophia 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 By All Means (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Worker 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ministerial 1.40 1.1 2-1
1 1 Super Quality 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Norgay 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Merchants of Cool 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Prince of Joy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tie Breaker 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Brennan’s War 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Rent Control 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Impulsive Spending 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Forty One Tales 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Academy Choice 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Vaunted 6.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 A Lister 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Waflr 10.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Subversive 15.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Milagroso 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Thatsmyboxer 20.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 One for My Brother 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kern River 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kid Emerald 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Uncle Marty 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Twenty Six Black 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vacation Dance 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Ten Cent Town 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Gem Mint Ten 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ramblin’ Wreck 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Itsallcomintogetha 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Vince the Prince 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Thethrillofvictory 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Power Attack 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jackson Heights 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Willintoriskitall 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucky Lucky Luke 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Steady Progress 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Old Point 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sixwillberich 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mister Moore 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sharpoon 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Union Tap 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Globalization 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Crowding Out 3.50 1 2-1
1 9 Home for Christmas 1.60 3.6 7-1
9 8 Stella Mars 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Just a Nyquist 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Racing Colors 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Synonymous 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Redzilla 20.00 7 13-1
4 3 More Mango 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Raffinity 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Chasing Daylight 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Little Linzee 0 0-1
8 8 Les Bon Temps 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Stolen Future 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Midtown Lights 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Red Moon 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Mz Big Bucks 6.00 6 11-1
11 11 Little Linzee 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Maggie T 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Camp Akeela 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Joeybignose 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Bea Bea Kaz 30.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Dream On Cara 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hooey 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Alibi Ike 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Runaway Road 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Brass Monkey 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bold Honor 4.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Grand Again 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Sway’sinmydna 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Wealllikedhim 30.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Alpha Sonny 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.