Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ilikefunsize | 0 | 0-1 | |||
Wine On Tap | 0 | 0-1 | |||
3 | 3 | Just the Oaks | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Ilikefunsize | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Wine On Tap | 0.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Looks First | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Devil At Midnight | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Pleasant Passage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Veronica Greene | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | For the Flag | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cupid’s Strike | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | I’m Buzzy | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Know It All Audrey | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Dancing Sophia | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | By All Means (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Midnight Worker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Ministerial | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Super Quality | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Norgay | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Merchants of Cool | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Prince of Joy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Tie Breaker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
5 | 5 | Brennan’s War | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Rent Control | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Impulsive Spending | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Forty One Tales | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Academy Choice | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Vaunted | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | A Lister | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Waflr | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
8 | 8 | Subversive | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
12 | 12 | Milagroso | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Thatsmyboxer | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
15 | 15 | One for My Brother | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Kern River | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Kid Emerald | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Uncle Marty | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Twenty Six Black | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Vacation Dance | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
3 | 3 | Ten Cent Town | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Gem Mint Ten | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Itsallcomintogetha | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Vince the Prince | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Thethrillofvictory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Power Attack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Jackson Heights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Willintoriskitall | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Steady Progress | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Old Point | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Sixwillberich | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Mister Moore | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Union Tap | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Globalization | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Crowding Out | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 9 | Home for Christmas | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Stella Mars | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Just a Nyquist | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Racing Colors | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | Synonymous | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Redzilla | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | More Mango | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
8 | 7 | Raffinity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1A | 10 | Chasing Daylight | 1.60 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Little Linzee | 0 | 0-1 | |||
8 | 8 | Les Bon Temps | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
9 | 9 | Stolen Future | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Red Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Mz Big Bucks | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
11 | 11 | Little Linzee | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Maggie T | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Camp Akeela | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Joeybignose | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
6 | 6 | Bea Bea Kaz | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
2 | 2 | Dream On Cara | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Hooey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Alibi Ike | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Runaway Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Brass Monkey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Bold Honor | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Grand Again | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Sway’sinmydna | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Wealllikedhim | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
5 | 5 | Alpha Sonny | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.