Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Horace Mann | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Supremacy | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Please Focus | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Royalty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jam Session | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agency | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Code | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run for My Honey | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lov U Mean It | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ila Veiw Too | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Movinglikeawinner | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ta Ta for Now | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Kaline | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Fasig-tipton Debutante S.) – Fasig-tipton Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Slam Smile | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Hot | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becky’s Dream (FR) | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Gal | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unfaithful Ways | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Rose | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Kitten | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Lass | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shared Future | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Moon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devil Be Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil Moon | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Book Smart | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chick’s Dig It | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J D’s Rude Boy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Buck | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powertrain | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deservedly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lulu Lemon Drop | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy On Top | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lt’s Choice | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Picture of a Lady | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Billy Gallivan | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Volpe | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Flying Pharoah | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viewers Discretion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Futurity) – Fasig-tipton Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranche | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Mirahmadi | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Refocus | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Going Mobile | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tranche | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Level | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry Houdini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wodeton (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Sixpack | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Apollo | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherubic Factor | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Rinca | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yogi Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baj | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Subsidize | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Mike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Surf | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meesh | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Hornet | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dont Fight the Fed | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Baby | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Granny’s Ipa | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Cheeseola | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Dorado | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oubabe | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Worse Read Sanchez | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stamp My Passport | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mobou | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bet Jafinsafa | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talklessworkmore | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Heatwave | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moogie Son | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s Resilient | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doris Mae | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pequena Tormenta | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cliquish | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Denim in Gold | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vitalera (CHI) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tip Top Gal | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keychain Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Anybody’s Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runninwiththeboyz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albayaader (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayley Levade | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Lane | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Jae | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nu Pi Lambda | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gimme Mo Baby | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Attracted | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.