Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mischievous Angel 0 0-1
2 2 American Know How 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fast Boat to Skye 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Beer Run 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mischievous Angel 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Inspector Poirot (IRE) 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Flat Top Box 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Cigarette Boat 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Honor King 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Big Elm 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Photon 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bomb Squad 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 The Splendid One 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Berning Honor 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Starts Now 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Stone of Destiny 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 North End Lady 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Foxy Cara 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ichiban 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Save Grace 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 K D Kakes 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Oh Donna 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Handle the Truth 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ricelle 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Joey the Fish 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Accel Rose 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Our Rosie Diamonds 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rough Draft 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ruse 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Yarrow 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Phantom Smoke 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 What’s Up Bro 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ghost Giant 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bar Fourteen 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Me ‘n Sap 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Big Engine 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Thrill of It 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ride Up 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shreveport 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Donegal Forever 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Cloud Forest 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Phelpsy 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Marty’s Magic 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Moore’s Law 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Be Here 1.60 1 2-1
2 1 Klickitat 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Landbiscuit 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Goldini 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Healing 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mount Travers 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 3 Front Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 American Lincoln 30.00 9.1 17-1
1A 11 Hammerin Aamer 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Two Thirty Five 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Pit Boss 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mariachi 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Ocean’s Reserve 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Tommy Gun 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Braciole 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Always Charming 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Dr. Marbooz 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Dr. Kraft 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Emboite (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shutters 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Exact Estimate 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Al’s Rocket 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Danzigwiththestars 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Kawhi Me a River 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Soulmate 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Centavo 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Brew Pub 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rocco Strong 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Film Star 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Reserve Currency 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Leddy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bed O’ Roses S.) – Bed O’ Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goodnight Olive 0 0-1
1 1 Goodnight Olive 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Wicked Halo 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dr B 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Caramel Swirl 2.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Beguine 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick Power Nap 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fast Corey 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Rum Runner Ready 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 4.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Candy Monet 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Devilly 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mostly Harmless 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Fuligni 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Queens Over Threes 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Susie’s Saver 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Predetermined 50.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Rosemary Potatoes 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.