Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Accelerate | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devilment | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sustenance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dear Santa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Bucky Run | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Joey | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Legend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Loving Cup | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meliponini Bee | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Seaport | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Point | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gatita Suave | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alliallioxenfree | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lilly Simone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Captain Woodrow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wysoquiet | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wine Collector | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Slew | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Never Grew Up | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedyness | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passioned | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arzak | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cazadero | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grateful Bred | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zyramid | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Kingdom | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remuda | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvalous Mike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Toofareastiswest | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hard Traveler | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now and Later | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Art | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zevon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nanga Parbat (GB) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here’s Liam | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Storm | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Martini Martin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Sammy | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major Nelson | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Occasional Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marty’s Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Here and Nofurther | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavalry Command | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Hustle | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Natagar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rascally Rebel | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mungo Magic | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Rolls | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glorious Mahomes | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Stephen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Charm | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Rome | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Glow | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic War Cry | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Many Kisses | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daylight Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid Daydream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Self Isolation | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beneath the Stars | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juror Number Four | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deco Strong | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storming Chrome | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theolovesawinner | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blame B B | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disputed Claim | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swift Dancer | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Upsidedown Man | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bubba Chrome | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy B | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nick’s Little Boy | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freegftwthpurchase | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bridge to Success | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bar Down Express | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.