Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cadencia | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fortineno (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party On Girl (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Wings Like Eagles | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Sweetlou’sgotaces | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mashnee Girl | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freddymo Factor | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Sunset Louise | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Astoria S.) – Astoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Suit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Living Magic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closing Act | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donate Life | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Low Mileage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Federalist Papers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shad Nation | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Up | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ensemble (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strikingly Spun | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parnac (FR) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Seeker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Six Percent | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Late Night Larry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Percent | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mason Mania | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sundaeswithsandy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Banker | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gandy Dancing | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Jersey Girl S.) – Jersey Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unified Alliance | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| L Street Lady | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Chocolate Gelato | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Becca | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unified Alliance | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L Street Lady | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildhawk | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Always Laughing | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Up Her Sleeve | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | From Hello | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Electorate (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Except Temptation | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Wine | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cumberland Falls | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anileate | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Precisely | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amidst Waves | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dozen Diamonds | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Waves | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beads | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Ray D. | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mayfly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Round the Town | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Sun Dress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Win for Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nolo Contesto | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inevtabl Conection | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Built to Last | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turnsandconditions | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charger | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dads Good Runner | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tremont S.) – Tremont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ship Cadet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitement | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Yo Candy | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Sweep | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jumpingjaggerflash | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty the Giant | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Wonder Again S.) – Wonder Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spansive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revalita (FR) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Venencia (FR) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allamericanbeauty | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prerequisite | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirty Thou Kelvin | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juniper’s Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Laurel Valley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willintoriskitall | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ripe for Mischief | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Marlin | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Lance | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wayward Ghost | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Control Alt Delete | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bankingonachance | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Play Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forward Cast | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Golden One | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volcker Rules | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Munny for Nuthin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Academy Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | One for My Brother | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Waflr | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.