Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Rose | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luminiferous | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ankyrah | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Happy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heron Bay | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nicely Curved | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Run Snappy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City of Champions | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Flatter | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrest | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Splash | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Magician | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling At Val | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harbor Thunder | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good N Thirsty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Edgee Angel | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasingserendipity | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myfavoritedaughter | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Fire | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Bourbon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Santa Margarita S.) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dawn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adare Manor | 0.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kirstenbosch | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Macho Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoothlikebuttah | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Moon Ice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Centre Circle | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Grazed | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Touchdown Kittle | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Maxville | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Infiniteexperience | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Commissioner H | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Highplainsdrifter | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Panthera’s Fate | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Eddie’s Last | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | McGregor Lake | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Black as My Heart | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Granny’s Ipa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Imperial Hornet | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twice Fooled | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy the Boot | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irondale | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pars and Birdies | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Amigo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | San Jac | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Carpe Bellum | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Council | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sippin Whiskey | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gotcha Lookin | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mafia Man | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Submission | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Graygray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Erebus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Honeymoon S.) – Honeymoon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Girls | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Selenaia (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast and Shiny | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Una Palabra | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tea N Conversation | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant Wave | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paris Secret (IRE) | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danzing Cat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ko Olina | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Issa Court | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Defiant | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race Judicata | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Babe | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzy Twister | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Harbored Memories | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Plus | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goliad | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Atomic Drop | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Podres | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nineeleventurbo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flint Stroll | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Savant | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hudson Ridge | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Them Down | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghazaaly | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Explain This Audit | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Charms | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.