Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prince Fred | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Deviant | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dublshotofcourage | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bati King | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Tax | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wesley Thomas | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Underdog | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breithorn | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Solution | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nottoway | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnightcharly | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kirby | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taco Bean | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Asters d’Oro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Pinky | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Comedy | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Monster | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morethanastorm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tak E Lady | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold Me Closer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just the Thing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jassai | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Ruby | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chica Music | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catalina Cruzin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amorica | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G’s Fireball | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | R Averie Lynn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dillingham | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ifihadachance | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Izzybella | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chalk Hill | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sneaky Cheeky | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomarie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Citi Creek | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dondada | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Them Digits | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cup Match | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nature Ofthe Beast | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Henry | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Big Drama | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glowsity | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mouffy | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jubilee Bridge | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starry Hope | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Still My Babe | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilimanjara | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stir Crazy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therearenorules | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Never Free | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lancer | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Worst Idea | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re the One | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honeycamp | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ariana Valentina | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chooselov | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.