Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heartburn | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Arcade | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Tapiture | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Palmer | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Jane Chrome | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Mosler | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Genieinabridle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bletchley Girl | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin’ Amanda | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singalong | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Link | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Nine Nine | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shady Munni | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Frontier | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostlighter | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Malibu | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Savoy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Certain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Covert Kat | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Hello | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theolovesawinner | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryder T | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Seas | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fun Notion | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Storm | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delegated | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Luv Ya Bye Bye | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonset | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Distant Fire | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Silver Patron | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Appendage | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oboy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hit the Jackpot | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Great Call | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Danny’s Winkster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Bubba Chrome | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shofar | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Officer Country | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tijuana Brass | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Good Year | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Resident Liberal | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Terre | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mentalist | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Conquest | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Hero | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Berks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Workin On a Dream | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guillaume | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clubman | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby G | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Away Joe | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Gulley | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Never Change | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Maximum Impact | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boss Man J J | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jebologist | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kobe Tough | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | By the Sey Shore | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Determined | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ragtime Riches | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meliponini Bee | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Odinson | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ladneedsahandler | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Twice Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Next Episode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zabracadabra | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vance Scholars | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backnthewoods | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yodel E. A. Who | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontmesawithme | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American d’Oro | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thomas Shelby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hello Hot Rod | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bashdaflash | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Order | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will’s Music | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Bastogne | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Stormy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Act Lively | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paul P | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Super Accelerate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lawful | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.