Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Newport Bridge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thank You Jon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoofy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Buck Freddy | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying in Style | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Vine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Sosua Summer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fredo | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Winter Son | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Elusive Edge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Three Zero | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Carpe’s Dream | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Journey | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Famous Gent | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Camm’ Duke | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Giant’s Fire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Twelth Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Catchyasoon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meteorite | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cicciobello | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battleoflexington | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Plate Special | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodside Warrior | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mugsy Fury | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Just A Game S.) – Just A Game S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | In Italian (GB) | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spendarella | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Eve | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speak of the Devil (FR) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wakanaka (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Endowed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Arrebato | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Long Term | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Thunderian | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Road | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fromanothamutha | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Skylander | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Makar | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Centavo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Rotknee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | High Connection | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Amundson | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dot’s Dollar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Scocciatore | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collaborate | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Saffa’s Day | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dream Shake | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Listentoyourheart | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Oak | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Cazadero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Settle’s Dream | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be the Boss | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conman | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feathers Road | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be of Courage | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ortus | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Athenry | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Kringle | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Terminator | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kreesa | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Daddy | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Always Charming | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curly Larry and Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York S.) – New York S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McKulick (GB) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shantisara (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Didia (ARG) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Like Goddess | 1.20 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flirting Bridge (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marketsegmentation | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | With The Moonlight (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Acorn S. Presented By Great Jones Distilling Co.) – Acorn S. Presented By Great Jones Distilling Co.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pretty Mischievous | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Munnys Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Mischievous | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodgirl Badhabits | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Randomized | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accede | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Occult | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorth Vader | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty O Toole | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Siskany (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Maker | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cross Border | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | British Royalty | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Grace (GER) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Tide | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cibolian | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tide of the Sea | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tartini | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | L’Imperator (FR) | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | High Definition (IRE) | 8.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbados (IRE) | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Intercontinental S.) – Intercontinental S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bay Storm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amy C (GB) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy Flower | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bubble Rock | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goin’ Good | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clitheroe (GB) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Messidor (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah Harper | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.