Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 El Franco 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stud Puppy 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Primer Dimer 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nordic Light 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brit’s Wit 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wesleyan 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hey Boss 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mad Adam 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Partake 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Edistrudis 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shimmering Allure 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 World Showcase 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stairstep Toheaven 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Kiss 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Baytown Kitty Cat 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Wee Bit O Mischief 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Boomin’ Belle 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ilikefunsize 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Dancing Princess 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Zadorsky 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gold Del Mar 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Cat’s Cave 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Naughty Miss 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Can the Queen 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 New Boss 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lady Goldstart 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Thundering Creed 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miner’s Queen 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pretty Birdie 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lovely Lisa 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Baby No Worries 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gary’s Flying Lion 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Close Knit 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Scotch No Rocks 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Stirdatpot 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sergeant Countzler 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hail Allen 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stayinyourlane 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Vortex 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Perfect Thunder 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kvetching Maw 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Outslewthem 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Posh Playday 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Fast Giselle 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Love of My Life 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Just Like Magic 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Always Angels 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Electric Sense 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Holiday Decision 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucy’s Cakes Fly 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fabricate 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lamasco 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Acaciahelpme 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bel Aria 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 La Cumparsita 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Condiment Girl 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sonador 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Obrigada 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aeronaut 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lamutanaatty 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mac Daddy Too 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Midaswellrun 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Group Eighteen 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Supremely 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rider’s Special 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stand for Freedom 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Can’t Hush This 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Saqeel 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tiwanaku 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 The Prince’s Spur 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ten Gauge 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bolzy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moreau 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Empirestrikesfast 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Prove Worthy 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Take the Charge 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 My Uncle Leon 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flying Houdini 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Texas Toast 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Coal Boss 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Smoke Wagon 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Eternal Bliss 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Brazilian Fury 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Close Talker 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Home Run Hank 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Levee Was Dry 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Holy Moly Abraham 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Kigali 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Joint Venture 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Liquid Addiction (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Noble Reality (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.