Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anchors and Spurs | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cel’s Star | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dawson’s Storm | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stroller Boy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupids Sweety | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savage | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunka Burning Love | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brickbat | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recorder | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Imindycatbirdseat | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bootlegging Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got a Name | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preordained | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Guess Not | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smilin Josie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Altar Girl | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hail Columbia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chai Tea | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slushy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Javistha | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Casa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remittance Sent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | North Side | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Zip | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Boy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ace Gilford | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candenza | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poker Play | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonathan Who | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smart N Intuitive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greedy Creedy | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John R | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mahomes | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Running Alex’sband | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kwai Chang | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Batter Up Betty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annieway U Want It | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaminonthenile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shelby To | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbow Dash | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Rose | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Spirits | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.