Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Newyearspresent 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Isabel de Clare 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Shes a Secret 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Freeform 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Doodle Doo 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Allinthecall 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Anna’s Arabesque 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Royal Blood 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Fancy Caber Neigh 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Beach Walkn 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 L J’s Emma 4.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Shesasmalltowngirl 10.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Mended We Stand 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 The Princess Says 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mommy Juice 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Lynna 30.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Perceptive 20.00 12.3 23-1
3 3 Scatlie 10.00 12.4 24-1
15 15 Good Turn 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 All I Want Is You 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Calm Cool 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Pick Me Gurl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Design 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mystic Night 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Olliemyboy 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mobster Gun 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Johny’s Fireball 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Shortlist 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Koufax 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Secret Pocket 0 0-1
7 7 Uncle Berley 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Group Hug 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Get Through 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Trigger Happy 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Right of Rush 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Secret Pocket 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Vail of Honor 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shinnecock Hills 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sir 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fight’n Ready 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Game Keeper 10.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Magic Tap 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 St. John’s 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Eirik Ridge 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Mr McGregor 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dr Kringle 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Just a Photo 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kentucky Joker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Heartbreaker 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Circle Back Jack 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Carnivore 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Commander Carl 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Jedrek 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Seven Flat 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Madison Luvs Duke 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Mugsy Malone 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Jay Vee Bee 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mac’s Time 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Eidikos (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Classic Coyne 6.00 2 4-1
12 12 Howboutdemapples 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Xigera 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fast and Flirty 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Miss Peabody 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Fiddle 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Ain’t Broke 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Mint Edition 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Sand and Sea 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Misread 6.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Yo Puedo 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Malawnia 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Scylla 0 0-1
8 8 She’s Lookin Lucky 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Personal Pursuit 20.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Divinely Bolt 20.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Peacock Lass 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Be Here Now 20.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Magic Bubbles 12.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Destine to Race 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Magical Lute 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Boss Lady Bailey 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Desert Tempest 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Scylla 1.80 7.4 14-1
7 7 Peacock Alley 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shoplifter 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bru Na Boinne 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Game Warden 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Night Effect 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Andy Cant 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Stand Proud 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Mo Hope 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Luna Vieja 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gettleman 4.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Harbour Bridge 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Mr. Keating 3.50 6.2 12-1
10 10 Canavall 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.