Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strange Fruit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ukrainian Princess | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perpetual Praise | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Power and Glory | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spatial Reality | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Motion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bon Adieu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mrs Bell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rheaume | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Dolly | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anatolian | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ever Summer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lullaby Land | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suspended Campaign | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Succulent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sa Foradada | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Caught My Eye | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Towering Gaze | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gagliano | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chaysenbryn | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Sera | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Aguililla | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lt. Mitchell | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Party | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreampoint | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Troy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heroneandonly | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Screw Loose | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unaffected | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One for My Brother | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Sidekick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Son Jake | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bert Bert Bert | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Light | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going in Style | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papi On Ice | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorpreso | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scotto | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Road | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bomb Squad | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Splendid One | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Melody | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Conquistadora | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arisaema | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sperss | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream On Cara | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Natural | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinstripepizzo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starts Now | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My First Love | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bay | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ribot’s Valentine | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinderella’s Cause | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Linda | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B B’s Busted | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amanda’s Folly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Comedy Town | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gun It | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slipstream | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Day Image | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven Street | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Success | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Cees Get Degrees | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Rogue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Headlight | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ferris Muler | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vince the Prince | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tony O | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stow On the Wold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mudville Nine | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valentino’s Here | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over the Cap | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zapruder | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slapintheface | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Locke and Key | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Caesar’s Ghost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.