Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yooou Know | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shemademeblush | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lancer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Catalaya | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ariana Valentina | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Job’s Not Finished | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Victorian Riviera | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Sport Coats | 1.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Animal Princess | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fine Aleigh | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shelley’s Song | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gettin’downonit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Praline’s Cat | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Henderson | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Saucy | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not as Lucky as Us | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sigmund | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tucker Road | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Laoban | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stellar Lute | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Cowboy Bradley | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ray of Light | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alliworshipnadore | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Fire Within | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fazzani | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alvy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hop and Scotch | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Silenced | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Key | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Lungo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackwater Falls | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Blood | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Superfly | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bam Bam Blu | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redeem Eddie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indefatigable | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Refund Rigler | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Ambitious | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youshouldbesolucky | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Odds On | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conspiracy Fact | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What Say You | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Brad | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steady John | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stardust Ziggy | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Image | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Being | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Prophets Voice (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palio | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy for Carmel | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carronade | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nantasket Beach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean City | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K’s Pick | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Licorice | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bassanio (GB) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reel Well | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grandpa’s Kid | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | In Effect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wish Me Home | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aferdita | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosy Apple | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Fantasy | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thea’s Theme | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Some Is Nine | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luckbealadytonight | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Playera | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.