Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chowmein | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supercool | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Ted | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail Allen | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velocimo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Commander | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Whiskey | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Transparency | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precursory | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Story Hour | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comedy Act | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raindrops On Roses | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music App | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hocus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rider’s Special | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insolito | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ignitis | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Icon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Socks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | With Purpose | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full Time Job | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midway Miracle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotch No Rocks | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Kentucky | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Left Pocket Money | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gary’s Flying Lion | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Odell | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Town Branch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Switzer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Quinn | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vale | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Infiltrator | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisianimal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Composer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hap’s Victory | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast as Flight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justify My Love (BRZ) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arm Candy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Light | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Henrietta Topham | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Intrigue | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valentina Day | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wave of Goodness | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Briterdayzahead | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Thinker | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Without Rein | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ludwig | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Secret | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuore Sacro | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unwrapped | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt Action | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Son of a Gray | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Moly Abraham | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke Wagon | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormin Army | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zaphod | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saudi Crown | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Light | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Page One | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charter Oak | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greener Pastures | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angkor | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appeal Denied | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Cherry Pie | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Outlaw | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caroom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | St. Neots | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highest Rated (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fightertown | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Now That Ican Rock | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roenick | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taking Candy | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry Hood | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Elm | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Athens Moon | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Illegal | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crusader Conrad | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Millers Rite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Stand Proud | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Accident | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oscargot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Decanted | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.