Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Fox | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Recalcitrant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borntostaythirsty | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Ella Dance | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Scarlett | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seldovia | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annie Fox | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pushiness | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cornelia Fort | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paleo’s Princess | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia’s Choice (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Westward Breeze | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Travel Smart | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katerini | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Celsius | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiamina | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Flying Gracie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty for Love | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Quiet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Hot | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovme Likeafool | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Kitten | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Symphony Perfect (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ever Smart | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Nadeshiko | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Hat Willie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Tequila | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brazen Bull | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zihuatanejo | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buffett | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Unions | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strikingly | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luminiferous | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu Lemon Drop | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruby Nell | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galimine (FR) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie’s Joy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin to the Boss | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free and Humble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tenth Street Don | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Amigo | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prayforourcountry | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artabkeen | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apple Warrior | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liddell | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Heat | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Crusader | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Twice Fooled | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mizdirection S.) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Summer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Pants | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Flyer | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Silk Stocking | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Very Scary | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canoodling | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elm Drive | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Una Chiquitita (CHI) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Jae | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strike That | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Self Taught | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joker Boy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Candy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Zoom | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Economical | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nineeleventurbo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flint Stroll | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crew Dragon | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oncoming | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stotland | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lottery Pick | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halfbarberbingie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Charms | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosenquist | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.