Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reunion Tour | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Bad Water | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dads Good Runner | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moving Pictures | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Attitude | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Larz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reunion Tour | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raw Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Paradise Creek S.) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charging | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joey Freshwater | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Witness | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vacation Dance | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inflation Nation (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devils Only Friend | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Eugene | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Son of a Birch | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Nugget | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Healing | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goldini | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landbiscuit | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chowda | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Tide | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Front Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lastchanceatglory | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Friends Beer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Original | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eyes On Target | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Be Here | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Datesfreedom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curlins Choir | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vax | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belmar Summer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Loca | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amanda’s Folly | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilian Grandma | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Demon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winter Pool | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silipo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sailor Speed | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Quartet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpster | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Ben’s Sunny Island | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quick Power Nap | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Devilly | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Free Shot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blame It On Paris | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mostly Harmless | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Nervous Now | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ever Graceful | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Predetermined | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Handle the Truth | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Candy Monet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Mispelled Mooon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Attached | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Aeron Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freudmein | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Refuah | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nobilis | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Trail | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Mesa | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seize the City | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kern River | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Positive | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amaretti | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beguine | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Poppy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awillaway | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grannys Connection | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Aguililla | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Reply | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Lulu | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Empress | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meraviglioso | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sweet Summer | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 14 | Saint Selby | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | King Angelo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 16 | Scocciatore | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Secret Rules | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | H P Moon | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Lobsta | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Tryst | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Runningwscissors | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Pine Knoll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Momos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | After Five | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Comedy Town | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Into the Sunrise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Black Belt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Alogon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ride Up | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exude | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Michael | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mistical Curlin | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocasek | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Money | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Stage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vespucci | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Moore’s Law | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.