Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Point | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Honor | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeter and Judge | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flintshire’s Rock | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disturbed | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steady Progress | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharpoon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Break the Ice | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Daylight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hypnocurrency | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yogi | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K D Kakes | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Susie’s Saver | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mursal | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey the Fish | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pharoah’s Heart | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Money | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Donna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Movie Moxy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Sophia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myriskyaffair | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canisy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arina (GER) | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Seeker | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whimsical Dance | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Regard | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aula | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myles | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | October Bliss | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Force | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metamorphoses | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In My Shadow | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Campbelito | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maythisbetheone | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wynn Giant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Profile | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | Catchyasoon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American Gentleman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Flamingo Hawk | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bring Me a Check | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Twenty Four Mamba | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Leddy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Risk Profile | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Money Mike | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Trash Talker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Excellent Timing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rotknee | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Varatti | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twelth Man | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watasha | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ikigai | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Gamble | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Future | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kaz Palace | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conman | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barrel of Quests | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Huntsman | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fatima’s Blessing | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be of Courage | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Open Til Midnight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Chalice | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Playingwithmatches | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Safalow’s Mission | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Braciole | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Buckortwo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brennan’s War | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tie Breaker | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Big Boulder | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Taco | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bointheback | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impulsive Spending | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Strategyforyou | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Mighty Don | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Subversive | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Milagroso | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vaunted | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ripe for Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Forty One Tales | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | What a Mesa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Volcker Rules | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.