Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Ballydooley (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
8 9 Klickitat 2.50 2 4-1
9 10 Cash Now 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 7 Bustin Shout 5.00 3 6-1
7 8 Propensity 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 4 Standup 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 6 Landbiscuit 12.00 8 15-1
2 3 Chowda 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Russian to Win 10.00 9 17-1
1A 2 Mount Travers 10.00 9.6 18-1
12 13 Risk Profile 2.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Striking Speed 4.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Catchyasoon 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Splendid Summer 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Toga Dancer 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Proven Hope 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Labarde 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Born a Gambler 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ghostlyprince 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 American Grant 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Strong Light 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Ginnsu Warrior 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Going in Style 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 General’s Duty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vindictive 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 No Burn 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Empty Tomb 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Anejo 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Market Alert 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Curlin’s Wisdom 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Addressable Market (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Naa Dudette 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Nightsaber (GB) 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Mysterious Stare 3.50 3.8 7-1
13 13 Geometrique 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Exotic Cat 15.00 7 13-1
12 11 My Girl Jal 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 3 Tap It Up 8.00 7.7 14-1
9 8 Aunt Berra 12.00 8 15-1
1 12 Tooshay 20.00 10.8 20-1
7 6 Extessa 50.00 11.1 21-1
5 4 Bounty Killah 50.00 11.5 22-1
3 2 Georgie’s Ladies 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Shaymyname 20.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Graceful 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tommy Gun 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Escape Mission 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Bad Larry 3.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Modern Midas 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Thirty Oysters 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Gentleman Burglar 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Thomas S P 12.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Iron Horizon 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 The Golden One 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Mr. Busta 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Central Station 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Woodside Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bern Rosey Bern 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Camp Akeela 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 I’mhavingamoment 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Monroe 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Majestic Return 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Longlive the Queen 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Stolen Future 4.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Sikum 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 U Should B Dancing 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Queens Masterpiece 15.00 7 13-1
13 13 Masterof the Tunes 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Freddymo Factor 30.00 9.1 17-1
14 15 Fancy Joke 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Weekend Rags 3.50 SCRATCH
1 4 Highway Harmony 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Battle Scars 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gem Mint Ten 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 General Banker 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 King of Comedy 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Dr. Kraft 10.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Mr. Kringle 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Sell Something 8.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Bricco 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Excursionniste 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Marinara Sauced 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Lord Flintshire 10.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Basis Risk 50.00 13.1 25-1
13 13 Barrel of Quests 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Daufuskie Island 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Victory Money 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Noble Huntsman 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Vagrancy S.) – Vagrancy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Easy to Bless 0 0-1
6 6 Dr B 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rossa Veloce 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Caramel Swirl 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Midnight Stroll 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mosienko 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Funny How 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Easy to Bless 50.00 6 11-1
5 5 Beguine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cynwyd 1.40 1 2-1
12 12 The Compas Man (IRE) 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Nieuwendyk 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Father of Lies 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Theregoesmymiracle 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sway’sinmydna 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Billy’s Got Issues 12.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Carpe Capella 30.00 7 13-1
10 10 Wealllikedhim 50.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Bear’s Correct 50.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Eddiemush 6.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Oxford Union 10.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Luna Warrior 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Covert Kat 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.