Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Major Pryce 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Stuck in Malibu 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Upstreet 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Funtastica 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Dulce Ambicion 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Royal Jubilee 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Black Ice 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mousefast 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Antillean 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Den Street 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Natural Vibes 1.80 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fun American 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Il Malandrino 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crystal Coast 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Light and Path 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sandpiper Memories 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Artifact (GB) 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Boston Princess 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Starry Hope 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Miscreant 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Musical Romance (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forces Sweetheart 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 La Runa 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Luna Tuna 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Flag Woman 1.60 4.1 8-1
5 5 Oasis Jak 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Jellicle Katz 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uranium 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Little Juanito 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Barone Cesco 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wall Street Trader 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mailbox Money 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Major Wager 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Adios Asher 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Xy Time 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Speedy Hans 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Journeyman 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Onenightstandards 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Parkland 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 A Rose for Raven 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Vladislav 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cuvier 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Centrodelantero 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Il Miracolo 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Big Data 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Run Cory Run 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Howgreatisnate 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rolling On 0 0-1
3 3 Nerve 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rolling On 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Rockin Roller 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Cruzin Man 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Adios Gary 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Loyal Louie 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Papa Katz 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Bella Future 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nic’s Bro 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.