Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosty the Giant | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Callin My Name | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Frosty the Giant | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Thunder | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Saratoga | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Innocent Man | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dunphy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patch O’Brien | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Run | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Gentleman | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five o’ Somewhere | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nuevo Amanecer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Stormy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Krickle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Front Fifi | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Fast for You | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Act | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Girls Weekend | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You’re Kitten Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April Clover | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Valentina | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V V’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Musical Diva | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Isocline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crossing | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Man Can | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lazarus | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Thunder | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodontknow | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divining Stone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Secret | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vintage Print | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Founder | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan Estate | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiberius Mercurius | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Bee | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivar | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fenwick Station | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dash Attack | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Warfare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Eleven Central | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invaluable | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princesstapiture | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Cumparsita | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everyotherwon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supertaleofhoudini | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Discernment | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiwanaku | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | O Captain | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Principe d’Oro | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spin Wheel | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Game | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bolzy | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cousin Larry | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Game | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Prince’s Spur | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Spark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | B Minor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Redeemer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Interlock Empire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Crow | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Uninvited Guest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johny’s Fireball | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmichael | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonevicious | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Crow | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Rags | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Floki’s Flight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | American Hero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.