Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got a Way | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howboutdemapples | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dendera | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Albayaader (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Fire | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Dancer | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Queen | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run for My Honey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blursday | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spoiled Rotten | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parco | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Saul Right | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back On the Street | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Singletary S.) – Singletary S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Escape Artist | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Westwood | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Time | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Coast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eastbound | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss My Kat | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teen Drama | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bell | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trojan Way | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Careless Star | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses R Blue | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coalinga Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balladeer | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bletchley Park | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anmer Hall | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Spirit | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tropical Terror | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subsidize | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Carol’s Comic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bet Jafinsafa | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Be Me | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Baby | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Ransom | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Mike | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Hornet | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bailey’s Budget | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Horn | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Never Not Once | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Quest | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Flew South | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Buck | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Del Oro | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbored Memories | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Standing O | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respect the Code | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samburu (GB) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desmond Doss | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Swear Dave | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Escape Route | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingdom Heart | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Armor | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Ball | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kahuna Magic | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovesick Blues | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Murray | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colt Fiction | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tallis | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ko Samui (IRE) | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldeneye | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So I’m Told | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Circleofchampions | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Alert | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirty Four Coupe | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Numero Dix (GB) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nineeleventurbo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Derecho Dandy | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.