Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Seville Row | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Addison Pour | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unorthodox | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Reward | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scotty Brown | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nicky Bear | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Down Cold | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Terre | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dimmi Quando | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stimulus Maker | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Orocovix | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steele Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amity Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superstitieux | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alottacents | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenner | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Mamba | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twice Gold | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Divine Magic | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call the Question | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buckin’ Great | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Family Gal | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Low Mileage | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buckin’ Lucky | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fantastic | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Queen Tapiture | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bossyness | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thencomemorning | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jackson’s Dixie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Gymnast | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rowsie Express | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Las Olas | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Deren | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Psychedelic Shack | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bomboloni | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zyramid | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speak Unity | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strike Me Down | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Premiere Choice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aristocat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vax a Nation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Home School | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Stars | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Porch Swing | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delegated | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tempestivo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Pure Talent | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Occasional Moon | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sage Runner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Houghton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Rahmer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | He Hate Me | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Backatya | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Askin for a Baskin | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shoot Themessenger | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Satchel de Ritches | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Flat Lucky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Bourbon and Ice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crossland | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benny Havens | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s Counting | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stardust Ziggy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jardani | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mint Game | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jones Falls | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frightland | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Ghost | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Reel Well | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lacco Ameno | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What Does It Take | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Willow Wood | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Free Square | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mr Jefferson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Omo Dada | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boruff | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B West | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thtwasthenthisisnw | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Smoak | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dart | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alvy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Element | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.